Prediction of disease activity and treatment failure in relapsing-remitting MS patients initiating daily oral DMTs.

BACKGROUND: Limited data exist regarding treatment response prediction to oral disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) in multiple sclerosis (MS). OBJECTIVES: We assessed the capacity of available scoring systems to anticipate disease activity parameters in naïve relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) patients initiating daily oral DMTs, hypothesizing that they exhibit different predictive potentials. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study and applied the Rio Score (RS), modified Rio Score (mRS), and MAGNIMS Score 12 months after DMT initiation. At 36 months, we examined their ability to predict evidence of disease activity (EDA) components and treatment failure by logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Notably, 218 patients (62.4% females) initiating dimethyl fumarate, teriflunomide, and fingolimod were included. At 36 months, the RS high-risk group predicted evidence of clinical activity (odds ratio (OR) 10 [2.7-36.9]) and treatment failure (OR 10.6 [3.4-32.5]) but did not predict radiological activity (OR 1.9 [0.7-5]). The mRS non-responders group did not predict EDA and treatment failure. RS, mRS, and MAGNIMS 0 categories showed significantly lower EDA and treatment failure than the remainder. CONCLUSION: Scoring systems present different predictive abilities for disease activity parameters at 36 months in MS patients initiating daily oral therapies, warranting further adjustments (i.e. introduction of fluid biomarkers) to depict disease activity status fully.

Association of Very Early Treatment Initiation With the Risk of Long-term Disability in Patients With a First Demyelinating Event.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Early treatment is associated with better long-term outcomes in patients with a first demyelinating event and early multiple sclerosis (MS). However, magnetic resonance (MR) findings are not usually integrated to construct propensity scores (PSs) when evaluating outcomes. We assessed the association of receiving very early treatment with the risk of long-term disability including an MR score (MRS) in patients with a first demyelinating event. METHODS: We included 580 patients with a first demyelinating event prospectively collected between 1994 and 2021, who received at least 1 disease-modifying drug (DMD). Patients were classified into tertiles according to the cohort's distribution of the time from the first demyelinating event to the first DMD: first tertile (FT) or very early treatment (6 months; n = 194), second tertile (6.1-16 months, n = 192), and third tertile (TT) (16.1 months, n = 194). A 5-point MRS was built according to the sum of the following indicators: ≥9 brain lesions (1 point); ≥1 infratentorial lesion (1 point); ≥1 spinal cord (SC) lesion (1 point); ≥1 contrast-enhancing (CE) brain lesion (1 point); and ≥1 CE SC lesion (1 point). PS based on covariates and the MRS was computed for each of the outcomes. Inverse PS-weighted Cox and linear regression models assessed the risk of different outcomes between tertile groups. Finally, to confirm the role of MR in treatment decision, we studied the time elapsed from the first demyelinating event to treatment initiation according to the MRS in all patients with radiologic available information, renamed as raw-MRS. RESULTS: Very early treatment decreased the risk of reaching Expanded Disability Status Scale 3.0 (hazard ratio [HR] 0.55, 95% CI 0.32-0.97), secondary progressive MS (HR 0.40, 95% CI 0.19-0.85), and sustained disease progression at 12 months after treatment initiation (HR 0.50, 95% CI 0.29-0.84), when compared with patients from the TT group. Patients from the FT group had a lower disability progression rate (ß estimate -0.009, 95% CI -0.016 to -0.002) and a lower severe disability measured by the Patient-Determined Disease Step (ß estimate -0.52, 95% CI -0.91 to -0.13) than the TT group. Finally, there was a 62.4% reduction in the median time between the first demyelinating event and the first-ever treatment initiation from patients displaying a raw-MRS 1 to patients with a raw-MRS 5. DISCUSSION: Using PS models with and without MRS, we showed that treatment initiation at very early stages is associated with a reduction in the risk of long-term disability accrual in patients with a first demyelinating event. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class III evidence that earlier treatment of patients with MS presenting with a first demyelinating event is associated with improved clinical outcomes.

Relationship between paramagnetic rim lesions and slowly expanding lesions in multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) markers for chronic active lesions in MS include slowly expanding lesions (SELs) and paramagnetic rim lesions (PRLs). OBJECTIVES: To identify the relationship between SELs and PRLs in MS, and their association with disability. METHODS: 61 people with MS (pwMS) followed retrospectively with MRI including baseline susceptibility-weighted imaging, and longitudinal T1 and T2-weighted scans. SELs were computed using deformation field maps; PRLs were visually identified. Mixed-effects models assessed differences in Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score changes between the group defined by the presence of SELs and or PRLs. RESULTS: The median follow-up time was 3.2 years. At baseline, out of 1492 lesions, 616 were classified as SELs, and 80 as PRLs. 92% of patients had ⩾ 1 SEL, 56% had ⩾ 1 PRL, while both were found in 51%. SELs compared to non-SELs were more likely to also be PRLs (7% vs. 4%, p = 0.027). PRL counts positively correlated with SEL counts (ρ= 0.28, p = 0.03). SEL + PRL + patients had greater increases in EDSS over time (beta = 0.15/year, 95% confidence interval (0.04, 0.27), p = 0.009) than SEL+PRL-patients. CONCLUSION: SELs are more numerous than PRLs in pwMS. Compared with either SELs or PRLs found in isolation, their joint occurrence was associated with greater clinical progression.

The kappa free light chain index and oligoclonal bands have a similar role in the McDonald criteria.

Intrathecal production of kappa free light chains occurs in multiple sclerosis and can be measured using the kappa free light chain index. Kappa free light chain index values can be determined more easily than oligoclonal bands detection and seem more sensitive than the immunoglobulin (Ig)G index to diagnose multiple sclerosis. We assessed the value of oligoclonal bands, kappa free light chain index cut-offs 5.9, 6.6 and 10.61, and IgG index to diagnose multiple sclerosis with prospectively acquired data from a clinically isolated syndrome inception cohort. We selected patients with sufficient data to determine oligoclonal bands positivity, MRI dissemination in space and time, IgG index and sufficient quantities of paired CSF and blood samples to determine kappa free light chain indexes (n = 214). We used Kendall's Tau coefficient to estimate concordance, calculated the number of additional diagnoses when adding each positive index to dissemination in space and positive oligoclonal bands, performed survival analyses for oligoclonal bands and each index with the outcomes second attack and 2017 MRI dissemination in space and time and estimated the diagnostic properties of oligoclonal bands and the different indexes for the previously mentioned outcomes at 5 years. Oligoclonal bands were positive in 138 patients (64.5%), kappa free light chain-5.9 in 136 (63.6%), kappa free light chain-6.6 in 135 (63.1%), kappa free light chain-10.61 in 126 (58.9%) and IgG index in 101 (47.2%). The highest concordance was between oligoclonal bands and kappa free light chain-6.6 (τ = 0.727) followed by oligoclonal bands and kappa free light chain-5.9 (τ = 0.716). Combining dissemination in space plus oligoclonal bands or kappa free light chain-5.9 increased the number of diagnosed patients by 11 (5.1%), with kappa free light chain-6.6 by 10 (4.7%), with kappa free light chain-10.61 by 9 (4.2%) and with IgG index by 3 (1.4%). Patients with positive oligoclonal bands or indexes reached second attack and MRI dissemination in space and time faster than patients with negative results (P < 0.0001 except IgG index in second attack: P = 0.016). In multivariable Cox models [adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval)], the risk for second attack was very similar between kappa free light chain-5.9 [2.0 (0.9-4.3), P = 0.068] and kappa free light chain-6.6 [2.1 (1.1-4.2), P = 0.035]. The highest risk for MRI dissemination in space and time was demonstrated with kappa free light chain-5.9 [4.9 (2.5-9.6), P < 0.0001], followed by kappa free light chain-6.6 [3.4 (1.9-6.3), P < 0.0001]. Kappa free light chains-5.9 and -6.6 had a slightly higher diagnostic accuracy than oligoclonal bands for second attack (70.5, 71.1 and 67.8) and MRI dissemination in space and time (85.7, 85.1 and 81.0). Kappa free light chain indexes 5.9 and 6.6 performed slightly better than oligoclonal bands to assess multiple sclerosis risk and in terms of diagnostic accuracy. Given the concordance between oligoclonal bands and these indexes, we suggest using dissemination in space plus positive oligoclonal bands or positive kappa free light chain index as a modified criterion to diagnose multiple sclerosis.

Is humoral and cellular response to SARS-CoV-2 vaccine modified by DMT in patients with multiple sclerosis and other autoimmune diseases?

BACKGROUND: The effect of disease-modifying therapies on severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccine response is unclear. OBJECTIVES: We aim to determine the immunological responses to SARS-CoV-2 in multiple sclerosis (MS) and anti-CD20-treated patients with other autoimmune diseases (AID). METHODS: Humoral and cellular responses we determined before and 30-90 days after vaccination in patients with MS and anti-CD20-treated patients with other AID in two Catalan centers. RESULTS: 457 patients were enrolled. Findings showed that humoral response decreased under anti-CD20s or sphingosine 1-phosphate receptor modulators (S1PRM) and with longer treatment duration and increased after 4.5 months from the last anti-CD20 infusion. Cellular response decreased in S1PRM-treated. Patients on anti-CD20 can present cellular responses even in the absence of antibodies. CONCLUSION: Anti-CD20s and S1PRM modify the immunological responses to SARS-CoV-2 vaccines.

Humoral and Cellular Responses to SARS-CoV-2 in Convalescent COVID-19 Patients With Multiple Sclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Information about humoral and cellular responses to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and antibody persistence in convalescent (COVID-19) patients with multiple sclerosis (PwMS) is scarce. The objectives of this study were to investigate factors influencing humoral and cellular responses to SARS-CoV-2 and its persistence in convalescent COVID-19 PwMS. METHODS: This is a retrospective study of confirmed COVID-19 convalescent PwMS identified between February 2020 and May 2021 by SARS-CoV-2 antibody testing. We examined relationships between demographics, MS characteristics, disease-modifying therapy (DMT), and humoral (immunoglobulin G against spike and nucleocapsid proteins) and cellular (interferon-gamma [IFN-γ]) responses to SARS-CoV-2. RESULTS: A total of 121 (83.45%) of 145 PwMS were seropositive, and 25/42 (59.5%) presented a cellular response up to 13.1 months after COVID-19. Anti-CD20-treated patients had lower antibody titers than those under other DMTs (p < 0.001), but severe COVID-19 and a longer time from last infusion increased the likelihood of producing a humoral response. IFN-γ levels did not differ among DMT. Five of 7 (71.4%) anti--CD20-treated seronegative patients had a cellular response. The humoral response persisted for more than 6 months in 41/56(81.13%) PwMS. In multivariate analysis, seropositivity decreased due to anti-CD20 therapy (OR 0.08 [95% CI 0.01-0.55]) and increased in males (OR 3.59 [1.02-12.68]), whereas the cellular response decreased in those with progressive disease (OR 0.04 [0.001-0.88]). No factors were associated with antibody persistence. DISCUSSION: Humoral and cellular responses to SARS-CoV-2 are present in COVID-19 convalescent PwMS up to 13.10 months after COVID-19. The humoral response decreases under anti-CD20 treatment, although the cellular response can be detected in anti-CD20-treated patients, even in the absence of antibodies.

Menopause does not modify disability trajectories in a longitudinal cohort of women with clinically isolated syndrome and multiple sclerosis followed from disease onset.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: To evaluate the effect of menopause on disability accumulation in women followed from their clinically isolated syndrome (CIS). METHODS: We examined the longitudinal changes in Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores from CIS until the last follow-up in women belonging to the Barcelona CIS prospective cohort, followed through their menopausal transition. The analysis is based on 13,718 EDSS measurements, with an average of 28 EDSS measurements per patient. Differences in EDSS trajectories between menopausal and nonmenopausal women, controlling for age and disease duration, were evaluated. We performed two sensitivity analyses in women with confirmed MS and in those experiencing early menopause. RESULTS: From 764 eligible women, 496 (65%) responded to the questionnaire, and 74 (14.9%) reached menopause over the follow-up. We did not find a significant inflection point in EDSS trajectories around menopause (slope change -0.009; 95% CI -0.066; 0.046). The annual increase in EDSS over the complete course of the disease was significantly higher in menopausal women (0.049; 95% CI, 0.026-0.074) versus nonmenopausal (0.019; 95% CI, 0.008-0.031; interaction p value 0.025). This difference was lost when controlling for age and disease duration (EDSS annual increase of 0.059; 95% CI, 0.025-0.094 vs. 0.038; 95% CI, 0.021-0.057, respectively; interaction p value 0.321). No inflection point was detected when the analysis was restricted to women with confirmed MS or with earlier menopause. CONCLUSIONS: Menopause is not associated with an increased risk of disability in a CIS population, considering EDSS trajectories throughout the course of the disease together with age and disease duration.

COVID-19 in multiple sclerosis patients: susceptibility, severity risk factors and serological response.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Information regarding multiple sclerosis (MS) patients with the 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is scarce. The study objective was to describe the incidence and characteristics of MS patients with COVID-19, to identify susceptibility and severity risk factors and to assess the proportion of positive severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) serologies according to disease-modifying treatments. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of an MS cohort analysing data collected between February and May 2020. Cases were identified through an email survey and clinical visits. The relationship of demographic and MS characteristics with COVID-19 and of the disease-modifying treatments with SARS-CoV-2 serostatus were examined. RESULTS: Data from 48 suspected cases out of 758 valid respondents and from 45 COVID-19 cases identified through clinical visits were collected. Incidence was 6.3%. Nineteen (20.3%) patients were hospitalized and two (2.2%) died. Multivariable models determined that age (odds ratio [OR] per 10 years 0.53, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.34-0.85), contact with a confirmed case (OR 197.02, 95% CI 56.36-688.79), residence in Barcelona (OR 2.23, 95% CI 1.03-4.80), MS duration (OR per 5 years 1.41, 95% CI 1.09-1.83) and time on anti-CD20 treatment (OR per 2 years 3.48, 95% CI 1.44-8.45) were independent factors for presenting COVID-19 and age (OR per 10 years 2.71, 95% CI 1.13-6.53) for a severe COVID-19. Out of the 79 (84.9%) with serological test, 45.6% generated antibodies, but only 17.6% of those on anti-CD20 therapies. Lymphopaenia or immunoglobulin levels did not relate to COVID-19. CONCLUSIONS: Multiple sclerosis patients present similar incidence, risk factors and outcomes for COVID-19 as the general population. Patients treated with an anti-CD20 therapy for a longer period of time might be at a higher risk of COVID-19 and less than 20% generate an antibody response. Only age was related to severity.

Multiple sclerosis management during the COVID-19 pandemic.

BACKGROUND: People with multiple sclerosis (MS) may be at higher risk for complications from the 2019 coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic due to use of immunomodulatory disease modifying therapies (DMTs) and greater need for medical services. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate risk factors for COVID-19 susceptibility and describe the pandemic's impact on healthcare delivery. METHODS: Surveys sent to MS patients at Cleveland Clinic, Johns Hopkins, and Vall d'Hebron-Centre d'Esclerosi Múltiple de Catalunya in April and May 2020 collected information about comorbidities, DMTs, exposures, COVID-19 testing/outcomes, health behaviors, and disruptions to MS care. RESULTS: There were 3028/10,816 responders. Suspected or confirmed COVID-19 cases were more likely to have a known COVID-19 contact (odds ratio (OR): 4.38; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.04, 18.54). In multivariable-adjusted models, people who were younger, had to work on site, had a lower education level, and resided in socioeconomically disadvantaged areas were less likely to follow social distancing guidelines. 4.4% reported changes to therapy plans, primarily delays in infusions, and 15.5% a disruption to rehabilitative services. CONCLUSION: Younger people with lower socioeconomic status required to work on site may be at higher exposure risk and are potential targets for educational intervention and work restrictions to limit exposure. Providers should be mindful of potential infusion delays and MS care disruption.